Movies · resolved market
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 60?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4e34075d8e82d89213a1224ee9256a24a0930a7ff265524e142707d6a7468b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6718…80d1backed Yes | 23c | 1,862$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…838bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,617$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 20c | 1,477$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed Yes | 15c | 1,009$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 14c | 549.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 72c | 390.57$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 389.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 25c | 377.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 352.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 7c | 305.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 19c | 258$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 9c | 248.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 41c | 247.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 21c | 243.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 35c | 227.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 13c | 190.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…5b98backed Yes | 53c | 170.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…f9a8backed No | 54c | 134.83$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 15c | 130$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 19c | 119.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 68c | 118.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Yes | 23c | 95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 28c | 62.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 17c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8b…e143backed Yes | 56c | 35.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked No | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 60?this page
- Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 30 and 40?No won
- Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40 and 50?Yes won
- Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 30?No won
- Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 60?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.