Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x618723fb4e3884497e0e93800d03bf1e5f9a6d7e928c9d64cf3fb4014f6bb49b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,136$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.43 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 1,925$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.48 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked No | 69c | 1,104$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.72 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Yes | 27c | 1,104$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 26c | 922.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 25c | 889.58$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.08 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 862.3$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.82 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 850.26$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.95 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 805.84$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.85 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 72c | 679.79$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.69 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 75c | 667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 27c | 664$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.47 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 18c | 500$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…2151backed Yes | 26c | 444.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Yes | 25c | 437$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 73c | 434.97$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 29c | 349.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 310.37$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 310$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Yes | 29c | 243.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…bf85backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked No | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd3…3a42backed No | 74c | 184.77$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 28c | 173$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 169.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d0…26c7backed Yes | 26c | 164$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3d…18a9backed No | 73c | 135.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…9d9abacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 26c | 109.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…6a3abacked Yes | 28c | 106.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 103.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eee…34e9backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 26c | 97.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cea…8298backed Yes | 28c | 93.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…d13abacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 71c | 83.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…bca7backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 37c | 79.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…ecfabacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…8fe4backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e64…673bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…8ad2backed Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…4f2bbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 39.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…90f1backed Yes | 27c | 38.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed No | 56c | 35.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 55c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 73c | 19.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed No | 68c | 18.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
- Will Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.