NFL · resolved market
Will Joe Burrow win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x422a4048c5715063294544c82c22be3088ce68ceda239378967ad6134d7639d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 34c | 2,975$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.87 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed No | 26c | 2,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.36 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,731$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.64 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 28c | 1,568$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 37c | 1,468$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.31 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…2096backed Yes | 71c | 1,406$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 16c | 941.55$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 796.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…72a0backed No | 52c | 770.55$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…1370backed Yes | 79c | 569.79$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 69c | 520$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 4c | 477.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2834…3cefbacked Yes | 76c | 462$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 3c | 444$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 31c | 437.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 13c | 413.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed No | 36c | 353.48$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 26c | 233.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…ac5cbacked Yes | 76c | 218.09$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed No | 58c | 171.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…74ddbacked No | 32c | 165.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 63c | 160$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…2809backed No | 20c | 151.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ce…e4dabacked Yes | 76c | 132.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…df2fbacked Yes | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…6a72backed Yes | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 26c | 116.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…6a9bbacked Yes | 75c | 106$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd8…6d0cbacked No | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc5…2bdabacked No | 25c | 104.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 68c | 100.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…a2e0backed Yes | 71c | 95.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5800…9391backed No | 25c | 85.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked No | 28c | 84.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…d499backed Yes | 76c | 83.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…77a9backed No | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada9…2307backed Yes | 78c | 82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 20c | 79.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…a4bebacked No | 15c | 78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Yes | 59c | 77.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Yes | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede3…de3fbacked Yes | 74c | 74.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ef…dd27backed No | 22c | 73.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…9b0bbacked No | 79c | 72.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…d758backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f81…ee67backed No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b0…900cbacked No | 22c | 66.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa36…5dd4backed Yes | 77c | 62.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…1faebacked Yes | 80c | 62.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79c…adb6backed Yes | 76c | 62.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…86b1backed Yes | 80c | 60.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf656…7f9bbacked No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…5dc4backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…f50bbacked No | 35c | 59.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…ac71backed No | 30c | 54.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…0653backed Yes | 75c | 54.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…30afbacked No | 21c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…a0babacked Yes | 79c | 50.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…fb9cbacked Yes | 74c | 50.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…68b0backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…824cbacked No | 22c | 49.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…22b4backed Yes | 72c | 48.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7b…d0a8backed Yes | 74c | 47.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…2c8bbacked No | 80c | 46.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…7043backed Yes | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…aa31backed Yes | 80c | 45.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…afa5backed Yes | 80c | 44.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…84b5backed Yes | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…083ebacked No | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…eae0backed No | 44c | 43.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10b…42f7backed Yes | 75c | 43.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…ce60backed No | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…4a57backed Yes | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 72c | 42.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…7e9abacked Yes | 70c | 42.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…bd3fbacked Yes | 75c | 42.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17b…cb7ebacked Yes | 72c | 41.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…389ebacked No | 41c | 41.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b4…4f8cbacked Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +298.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…979abacked Yes | 79c | 38.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…be80backed Yes | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…f84fbacked Yes | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcabb…7c38backed Yes | 73c | 34.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…9072backed Yes | 70c | 33.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…7afebacked Yes | 80c | 31.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9f…2badbacked Yes | 80c | 31.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…6cf8backed Yes | 78c | 31.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5267…897fbacked No | 34c | 30.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d8…0ad6backed No | 36c | 30.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee1…51a6backed No | 40c | 27.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…6dcdbacked Yes | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e76…3302backed Yes | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096d…78dabacked Yes | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d6…37e6backed Yes | 80c | 25.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Joe Burrow win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?this page
- Will Anthony Richardson win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Bryce Young win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Damar Hamlin win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Nick Chubb win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Russell Wilson win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Sam Darnold win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.