TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,672 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Seahawks45c22,000$9,900 inWon+$12,099.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Patriots55c20,269$11,160 inLost-$11,159.6812055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Patriots55c2,031$1,117 inLost-$1,117.271060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Patriots55c158.07$87 inLost-$86.946240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Seahawks46c67$31 inWon+$36.0735648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…1924backed Patriots61c55$34 inLost-$33.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b8…9592backed Seahawks45c52.16$23 inWon+$28.69147.1%1 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.33per pick41cpaid-84.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Seahawks41c50$21 inWon+$29.52544%11 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…605fbacked Patriots59c50$30 inLost-$29.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0c…7652backed Seahawks49c30.47$15 inWon+$15.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Patriots57c28.1$16 inLost-$16.12532%8 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Patriots59c17.35$10 inLost-$10.151844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.