F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x660675e814a2c3e4d619858b5bd21f0dc23da12329a11f5267a24c1e04c62df6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 36c | 1,104$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.19 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 60c | 1,063$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.75 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…30edbacked Yes | 22c | 923.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Yes | 5c | 465.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 31c | 354.65$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 24c | 345.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 56c | 287.76$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Yes | 36c | 261.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 72c | 186.4$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…7fddbacked Yes | 54c | 185.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 163$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 78c | 158.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 26c | 154.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 40c | 118.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…22e4backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…7275backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 99.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 62c | 88.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 23c | 83.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked No | 78c | 67.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ce…0e0abacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 80c | 44.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 66c | 19.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 69c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae41…8311backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.