Europa Conference League · resolved market
Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16fb02da3afb6479e70ed47544031e9753cf90f3a621be85e1bb4ab2c552c8ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferencvárosi TCof Górnik Zabrze, Ferencvárosi TC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Górnik Zabrze | 30c | 1,100$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Górnik Zabrze | 31c | 695$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.92 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Ferencvárosi TC | 70c | 641.99$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 71c | 584.95$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.34 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…8d12backed Ferencvárosi TC | 70c | 543.76$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 71c | 427$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ferencvárosi TC | 72c | 422.76$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.37 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Górnik Zabrze | 35c | 397.65$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Ferencvárosi TC | 69c | 261.68$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Górnik Zabrze | 29c | 249.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Górnik Zabrze | 28c | 210$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Ferencvárosi TC | 70c | 199.04$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ferencvárosi TC | 69c | 149.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Ferencvárosi TC | 54c | 139.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8c…899ebacked Ferencvárosi TC | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Ferencvárosi TC | 70c | 115$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Górnik Zabrze | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Górnik Zabrze | 29c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Górnik Zabrze | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Górnik Zabrze | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 71c | 59.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Ferencvárosi TC | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…fd81backed Górnik Zabrze | 44c | 48.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ferencvárosi TC | 70c | 40.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…6ecfbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Ferencvárosi TC | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Team to Advancethis page
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Górnik Zabrze O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Górnik Zabrze O/U 1.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Górnik Zabrze O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.