Europa Conference League · resolved market
Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Górnik Zabrze O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaddca354fd61ce131a073474054e58732be1b87d2e3b6064d5841388750c4c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 58c | 650.18$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.36 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 43c | 394.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Over | 41c | 256.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 29.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Górnik Zabrze O/U 1.5this page
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Górnik Zabrze O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Górnik Zabrze O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Team to AdvanceFerencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.