TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ferencvárosi TCof Górnik Zabrze, Ferencvárosi TC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,690 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Ferencvárosi TC72c2,655$1,911 inWon+$743.973,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Górnik Zabrze28c2,443$674 inLost-$673.571,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Ferencvárosi TC79c2,189$1,729 inWon+$459.6921840.4%88 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Górnik Zabrze21c2,000$420 inLost-$4209754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Górnik Zabrze23c982.71$225 inLost-$224.842,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Górnik Zabrze20c875.12$178 inLost-$177.832,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf025…48f8backed Górnik Zabrze34c220.59$75 inLost-$751735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Górnik Zabrze21c200$42 inLost-$4212358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Ferencvárosi TC80c171$137 inWon+$34.238144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Ferencvárosi TC67c144.35$96 inWon+$48.052,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ferencvárosi TC68c113.44$77 inWon+$36.356849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked Górnik Zabrze32c78.13$25 inLost-$252951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Ferencvárosi TC73c69.42$50 inWon+$18.9858061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Ferencvárosi TC80c64$51 inWon+$12.84060%24 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Ferencvárosi TC73c56.44$41 inWon+$15.4285260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ferencvárosi TC80c50$40 inWon+$1081440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Ferencvárosi TC69c36.23$25 inWon+$11.236858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Ferencvárosi TC72c31$22 inWon+$8.6853564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Ferencvárosi TC72c26.69$19 inWon+$7.4529470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Ferencvárosi TC74c16.86$12 inWon+$4.447580%60 W · 15 L+12.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Ferencvárosi TC79c15.2$12 inWon+$3.1936356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.