Europa Conference League · resolved market
Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x376e45e7e3eaa416d834ce7ade11be26db587fe68455358563810a58b6e14ce7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 955.66$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.08 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 43c | 451.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.02 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 39c | 341.34$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 32c | 256.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 46c | 228.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 178.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 56c | 163.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 138.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 38c | 124.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 29c | 123.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 44c | 103.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…6e98backed Yes | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 83.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 73c | 82.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 68.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 65.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1cb2backed Yes | 45c | 55.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…b045backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 52.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 68c | 49.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 66c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 70c | 28.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 27.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 45c | 26.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 68c | 25.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Górnik Zabrze O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Górnik Zabrze O/U 1.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Górnik Zabrze O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Team to AdvanceFerencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.