TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,876 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c2,656$2,029 inWon+$627.453,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over24c1,614$387 inLost-$387.4337446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over25c1,240$314 inLost-$313.9781440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over10c565.61$55 inLost-$54.772,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over25c333.98$84 inLost-$83.5238952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over5c263.06$12 inLost-$12.029923.2%23 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over26c113.81$30 inLost-$29.591,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf7…c485backed Over27c111.11$30 inLost-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over26c92$24 inLost-$24.152,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under76c76$58 inWon+$18.2453564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over23c70.04$16 inLost-$16.1145348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under73c65.11$48 inWon+$17.5810463.5%66 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under73c46$34 inWon+$12.421,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over28c45.75$13 inLost-$12.818840.9%36 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under76c43.56$33 inWon+$10.4558061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under76c43.56$33 inWon+$10.4585260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under76c32.37$25 inWon+$7.775971.2%42 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under73c30$22 inWon+$8.247649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under70c29$20 inWon+$8.713547.4%64 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under76c27.47$21 inWon+$6.474278.6%33 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under76c26.39$20 inWon+$6.338869.3%61 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under76c24.53$19 inWon+$5.9129470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under73c19.6$14 inWon+$5.369154.9%50 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Under76c18.16$14 inWon+$4.361190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick74cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.