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Champions League · resolved market

Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,074 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c28,071$12,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,740.861,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c26,317$14,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,740.961,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under28c18,933$5,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,721.936848.5%33 W · 35 L+8.6wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under43c16,854$7,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6216144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over60c4,272$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.5754239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over53c4,239$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.9779935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf374…0178backed Under36c3,421$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under25c2,852$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+63.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under13c2,679$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.3363137.7%238 W · 393 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over63c2,571$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.2551746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under50c2,498$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.041533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over31c2,461$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7658318.1%15 W · 68 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under25c2,447$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.687133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over42c2,143$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over37c2,124$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.6646533.8%157 W · 308 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under23c1,923$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.285156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under27c1,832$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.12665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under21c1,802$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.272835.7%10 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+107.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over71c1,797$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.935046%23 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over67c1,521$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.0312846.9%60 W · 68 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under30c1,520$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.723040%12 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over19c1,512$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.2814732.7%48 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under38c1,496$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.351,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed Under68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.591450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over31c1,430$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.9857347.6%273 W · 300 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over58c1,418$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.4420936.8%77 W · 132 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Over70c1,321$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9251553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over65c1,231$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over66c1,095$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.41435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Over33c1,088$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3541346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over31c999$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.691612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over2c964.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.592420.8%5 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x612f…05d8backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under23c766.63$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.266720.9%14 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under63c739.73$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.414641.3%19 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over50c735.91$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.963834.2%13 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over74c726.52$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.954731.9%15 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over54c720.07$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.843040%12 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under67c714.96$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9470446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over73c684.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.977265.3%47 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe479…b1f1backed Under44c676.56$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed Over33c657.58$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over26c643.93$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4216248.1%78 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under14c634.27$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.471553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7b0…ea30backed Over2c600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002564%16 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under67c599.99$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19823747.7%113 W · 124 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…39bbbacked Over46c565.22$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+49.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under42c530.55$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.722763%17 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under12c518.16$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.7313041.5%54 W · 76 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Under63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1856538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under57c478.74$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.623053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under70c456.62$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over73c424.96$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.422673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over64c409.16$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.863956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over63c407.75$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2719343%83 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under44c401.25$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.252343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Under19c397.03$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.392030%6 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under30c396.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.572454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Over79c379.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over60c333.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+72.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x869a…5a78backed Over57c310$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924872.9%35 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over78c254.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.993756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under28c248.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.952560%15 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+104.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed Under6c246.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.941936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under27c232.93$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.44944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over58c230.34$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3714843.9%65 W · 83 L-12.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over70c214.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bc…67c2backed Under24c202.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.33560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f8…6f42backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under34c190$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.42454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under73c186.55$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4944837.7%169 W · 279 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.61428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4af8…0f85backed Over68c175.24$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under18c173.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.682250%11 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under26c172.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.582969%20 W · 9 L+6.9wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+55%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under30c151.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.891855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5d…df19backed Under43c151.4$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Over63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa568…44e9backed Over25c147.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1fd…8e1abacked Over68c142.88$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.16366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Under18c138.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.892532%8 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3303…9895backed Under59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.596100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over76c119.55$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.652075%15 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over32c119.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1519447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x304a…3d25backed Over71c110.12$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.01366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Under44c103.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.043461.8%21 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.