Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4f6990e5e8774a7e93ad2967ad0a1f4a83335e682b651b9f94ed3db4853ba4d

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $66,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,309 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under	21c	13,643$2,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,826.35	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed Under	23c	6,778$1,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,554.29	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over	55c	5,818$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,617.56	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under	28c	5,344$1,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,477.4	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	77c	2,926$2,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.82	749	35.4%265 W · 484 L	-30.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-30%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe479…b1f1backed Under	12c	2,396$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	45c	1,937$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.8	526	46.8%246 W · 280 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	55c	1,508$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.35	157	41.4%65 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over	53c	1,293$685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.63	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	75c	1,198$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.98	401	43.4%174 W · 227 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under	22c	1,132$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.82	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+4.0wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	56c	1,090$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.94	288	33.3%96 W · 192 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	43c	1,011$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.91	1,071	34.8%373 W · 698 L	-15.0wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x184c…984fbacked Over	51c	956.31$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.79	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under	47c	851.06$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	74c	813.75$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.07	968	37.4%362 W · 606 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	45c	813.03$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.3	664	46.2%307 W · 357 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	55c	808$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.52	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over	54c	740.74$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.74	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	45c	696.55$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.56	156	48.1%75 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed Under	45c	666.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under	45c	599.98$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.99	232	47.4%110 W · 122 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under	37c	538.46$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Over	54c	505.56$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.56	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under	47c	462.24$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.25	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	55cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	45c	399.98$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.99	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5b…1dcdbacked Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6779…2ff6backed Over	54c	368.05$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.05	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	62cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.21per pick	55cpaid	+35%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	46c	265.75$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.72	2,025	43.7%884 W · 1,141 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over	69c	261.39$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.75	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cba…52f8backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Under	13c	138.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	59c	130.9$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.05	269	31.6%85 W · 184 L	-22.0wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Over	55c	110$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	13c	109.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b66…8501backed Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	24cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	43c	105$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.15	252	45.2%114 W · 138 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	123	38.2%47 W · 76 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc942…839cbacked Over	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7734…017dbacked Over	55c	91.6$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.22	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+119.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Over	55c	90$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe212…0409backed Under	46c	89.9$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	44c	88$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.72	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	46c	84.12$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	676	49.4%334 W · 342 L	-15.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under	53c	83.19$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.09	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	53c	75.49$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.48	328	47.9%157 W · 171 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	54c	70.04$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.96	910	32.6%297 W · 613 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71fe…d3ccbacked Under	47c	69.96$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.88	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under	20c	69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-4.3wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe2b…de68backed Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa568…44e9backed Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481a…68a9backed Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4078…a7f7backed Over	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	48c	48.01$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.05	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…9085backed Under	46c	46.35$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.32	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0fc…03debacked Over	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	46c	42$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.68	217	60.8%132 W · 85 L	+21.9wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Over	53c	40.34$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.96	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under	45c	39.4$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.73	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	45c	37.26$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	435	37.9%165 W · 270 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	54c	37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.02	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5101…c159backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	28cpaid	+87.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	126	68.3%86 W · 40 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over	67c	33$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.98	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Over	52c	31.41$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.07	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Over	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked Over	55c	25.52$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.48	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	45c	25.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	394	42.9%169 W · 225 L	-23.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Over	48c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	47c	23.42$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.01	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-6.2wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked Over	56c	21.43$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.43	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-39%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44dc…802dbacked Over	56c	21.43$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.43	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5this page
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5Over won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 2.5Under won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 0.5Over won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 5.5Under won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5Under won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 2.5Under won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to AdvanceFenerbahçe SK won
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event