NFL · resolved market
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72e87954a86d093f7f2991f8b2407e59ff6dc003ebc46bafe06349f6ad95044f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6bb…50bebacked No | 50c | 10,009$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb2…1f6cbacked Yes | 50c | 9,998$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,998.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 76c | 3,831$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.44 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 6c | 3,159$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…5312backed Yes | 18c | 2,814$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.4 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…6980backed Yes | 31c | 2,414$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2c…7334backed No | 50c | 2,034$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d79…a3dbbacked Yes | 50c | 2,033$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…6791backed No | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…50bfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…5e7abacked Yes | 38c | 1,310$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 63c | 1,182$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.61 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes | 64c | 975.3$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.52 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 48c | 966.05$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.46 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed No | 46c | 917.82$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.43 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 3c | 870.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 54c | 620$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 79c | 551.14$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Yes | 5c | 393.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.83 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…6134backed Yes | 57c | 387.43$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 13c | 363.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.46 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 52c | 308.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Yes | 54c | 289.78$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…170cbacked Yes | 59c | 282.71$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.71 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…545dbacked No | 9c | 246.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cce…bdd0backed No | 51c | 245.49$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…047ebacked Yes | 51c | 245.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 51c | 235.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed Yes | 57c | 223.17$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1e…5a06backed Yes | 57c | 217.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 66c | 196.27$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 31c | 178.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…4edcbacked No | 49c | 127.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…8125backed Yes | 56c | 125.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…679fbacked No | 49c | 114.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…a2a1backed Yes | 56c | 108.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked No | 43c | 105.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…741bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ef…fddbbacked Yes | 58c | 94.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…099dbacked Yes | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…5e44backed Yes | 53c | 74.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…fab3backed Yes | 24c | 68.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…adc2backed No | 49c | 63.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 74c | 62.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aac…e12abacked No | 50c | 59.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…5cecbacked Yes | 53c | 59.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…7847backed Yes | 51c | 58.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…ddf6backed No | 49c | 57.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x998f…66fdbacked No | 28c | 52.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…981ebacked Yes | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed No | 76c | 43.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…291dbacked Yes | 54c | 40.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…0049backed No | 43c | 34.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…61d1backed Yes | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…91d1backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…7941backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…bc5bbacked Yes | 59c | 33.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Yes | 36c | 29.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace7…6c18backed Yes | 73c | 26.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…02a3backed Yes | 54c | 26.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…b4dcbacked Yes | 79c | 25.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f7…0d6fbacked No | 40c | 25.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 49cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…a859backed No | 47c | 23.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…0d6cbacked Yes | 73c | 22.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0757…6daebacked Yes | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…7b93backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?this page
- Will A.J. Brown be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Amon-Ra St. Brown be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Brandon Aiyuk be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb be the top Fantasy Wide Reciever?No won
- Will Chris Olave be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Cooper Kupp be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Davante Adams be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Drake London be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Garrett Wilson be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Marvin Harrison Jr. be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Michael Pittman Jr. be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Nico Collins be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Puka Nacua be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will another player be the top Fantasy Wide Reciever?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.