NFL · resolved market
Will A.J. Brown be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e0716b56afc2485d1253d7c11ba1797c79a1c340c922bae8de929c9d0e33a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $775,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $600,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $775,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913d…1677backed Yes | 0c | 23,920$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…3f15backed Yes | 0c | 23,920$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c6…aba9backed Yes | 0c | 20,137$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…63bebacked Yes | 0c | 18,919$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8f…cc80backed Yes | 0c | 18,919$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7b…80f0backed Yes | 0c | 18,919$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…0ab8backed Yes | 0c | 18,919$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…4af8backed Yes | 0c | 18,919$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…d6b3backed Yes | 0c | 18,919$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…74c1backed Yes | 0c | 18,919$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…058cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,919$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d94…4170backed Yes | 0c | 18,919$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce94…9cd3backed Yes | 0c | 18,919$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,499$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…7f56backed Yes | 0c | 15,136$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68f…3a2abacked Yes | 0c | 15,136$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7904…a62ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,136$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…791fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,136$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…cc38backed Yes | 0c | 15,136$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x996d…7e9fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,352$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…a375backed Yes | 0c | 11,352$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3723…ad4dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,710$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,748$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133f…0792backed Yes | 1c | 2,192$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…c3eebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f8…0b5bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,787$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,380$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 5c | 462.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 7c | 377.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will A.J. Brown be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?this page
- Will Amon-Ra St. Brown be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Brandon Aiyuk be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb be the top Fantasy Wide Reciever?No won
- Will Chris Olave be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Cooper Kupp be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Davante Adams be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Drake London be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Garrett Wilson be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?Yes won
- Will Justin Jefferson be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Marvin Harrison Jr. be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Michael Pittman Jr. be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Nico Collins be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Puka Nacua be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?No won
- Will another player be the top Fantasy Wide Reciever?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.