TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Justin Jefferson be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,838 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0b85…6980backed Yes24c1,520$371 inLost-$371.411330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcede…f2f6backed Yes12c1,276$153 inLost-$153.19022.2%20 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes2c1,257$23 inLost-$22.8652828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes13c1,255$164 inLost-$164.489724.7%24 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1289…ebfabacked Yes2c1,090$16 inLost-$16.35933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Yes8c751.85$60 inLost-$6018144.8%81 W · 100 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes7c702.99$49 inLost-$49.2713217.4%23 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+104.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c65…a0b7backed Yes23c538.48$124 inLost-$123.830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes12c378$45 inLost-$45.3620440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes19c273.2$52 inLost-$521809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes13c235.05$30 inLost-$29.843839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes23c215.67$50 inLost-$5010125.7%26 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes11c192.66$21 inLost-$21.196832.4%22 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes7c154.04$10 inLost-$10.3141540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e3…b990backed Yes22c109.01$23 inLost-$23.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost-$155341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b1…ec47backed Yes13c90$11 inLost-$11.360%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…6134backed Yes19c83.75$16 inLost-$15.531931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f6…3cd9backed No78c40$31 inWon+$8.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe6b…f255backed No64c31.25$20 inWon+$11.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick32cpaid+115.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ed6…58b9backed No80c20$16 inWon+$4.11782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd9c…3873backed No71c18.28$13 inWon+$5.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.