TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will CeeDee Lamb be the top Fantasy Wide Reciever?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,904 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c3,049$13 inLost-$12.62430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4476…3541backed Yes9c1,528$140 inLost-$140.05633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes2c1,172$19 inLost-$19.3652828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes19c1,007$193 inLost-$192.99749.5%7 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b85…6980backed Yes24c974.96$232 inLost-$231.611330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes14c474.83$67 inLost-$6710125.7%26 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8371…06febacked Yes17c441.08$74 inLost-$74.144318.6%8 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+68.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Yes15c258.28$40 inLost-$39.6513428.4%38 W · 96 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes8c245.39$20 inLost-$20.331809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes7c234.88$15 inLost-$15.323839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes17c215.15$37 inLost-$36.5820440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes6c200$12 inLost-$12.26832.4%22 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37b…3802backed Yes21c152.23$32 inLost-$32933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b89…8dd3backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes17c100$17 inLost-$1712570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x74b1…ec47backed Yes20c92.05$18 inLost-$18.4560%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x250a…6d1dbacked Yes16c85$14 inLost-$13.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.