Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Ethereum all time high by August 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6735abbf40f2384c4a04938ec22855129d6667742076a8dcbed68e1f3a5474f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 33c | 23,451$7,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,714.97 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked No | 0c | 20,250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…bb42backed No | 0c | 10,074$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…35c0backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 65c | 9,000$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 33c | 8,606$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,744.77 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f57…f904backed Yes | 2c | 8,051$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,901.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +570.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 26c | 8,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed No | 69c | 7,600$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,240.49 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…a8ddbacked Yes | 78c | 6,220$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 46c | 5,032$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…10b0backed No | 72c | 4,909$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed No | 58c | 4,053$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 21c | 4,048$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.96 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 41c | 3,694$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.69 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.99 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f50…b9c8backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,392$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.9 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.47 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 74c | 1,922$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…68e2backed Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes | 29c | 1,557$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.07 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…d7a1backed Yes | 80c | 1,357$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…d936backed Yes | 76c | 1,321$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…c6a3backed No | 60c | 1,312$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 68c | 1,295$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.12 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 33c | 1,221$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.49 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…1f85backed No | 60c | 1,210$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dd…c8a5backed Yes | 38c | 1,123$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked No | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed No | 43c | 948.57$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 11c | 831.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.39 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…9fdfbacked No | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed No | 30c | 577.26$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…4ea5backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38cf…1d60backed Yes | 53c | 468.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed No | 42c | 432.29$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 23c | 418.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 5c | 400$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +297.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 19c | 333$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…05f2backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…3b74backed No | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…0dc8backed Yes | 40c | 256.13$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 75c | 231.56$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 62c | 231$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d6…d491backed No | 38c | 211.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…ae3ebacked Yes | 45c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…a398backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 22c | 173$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked No | 62c | 161.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…e9a7backed No | 12c | 140.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Yes | 72c | 131.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…0239backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…85b8backed Yes | 16c | 92.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +518.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…f0bbbacked Yes | 24c | 86.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked No | 62c | 80.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…f13abacked No | 80c | 70$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd6…6682backed Yes | 55c | 69.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Yes | 21c | 52.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d5…23f7backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…6975backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d1…ac72backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7b…3c9ebacked Yes | 53c | 37.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…9ed2backed No | 68c | 36.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…1237backed No | 59c | 33.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…1bdcbacked No | 73c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa471…f504backed No | 65c | 23.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…9bb9backed No | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…9100backed No | 70c | 18.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.