Movies · resolved market
Will Woo Seung-min make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bb929e7bcab65c0b3d0f06a35780e3c7eee1ed12030d5d93a9c5a84e33bdb9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 32c | 2,464$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…7f6cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,599$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed No | 20c | 1,092$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…8fedbacked Yes | 64c | 815.96$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.96 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed No | 20c | 403.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 320$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…5c71backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 21c | 135$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed No | 20c | 123$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 78c | 119.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7445…58ddbacked No | 19c | 108.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 76c | 102.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 64c | 85.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 75c | 79.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 78c | 52.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…e1bebacked Yes | 76c | 40.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed Yes | 78c | 22.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…da25backed Yes | 74c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6216backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56f…3bb0backed No | 52c | 19.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Woo Seung-min make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?this page
- Will Choi Mina Sue make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
- Will Ham Ye-jin make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?No won
- Will Jo I-geon make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?No won
- Will Kim Go-eun make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
- Will Kim Min-ji make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
- Will Lee Joo-young make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
- Will Lee Sung-hoon make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
- Will Park Hee-sun make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
- Will Song Seung-il make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.