Movies · resolved market
Will Jo I-geon make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd25d0e7aa36ecf70b090cbee11267e572bde2d83dc0512c1de92063c4f87a0a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked Yes | 14c | 645$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 14c | 436$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed Yes | 14c | 372$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 14c | 366$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked Yes | 14c | 336$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 13c | 322$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…0335backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 14c | 211.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes | 13c | 201$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 138$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dba…b652backed No | 79c | 126.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 17c | 125$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…e08ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 32c | 85.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Yes | 29c | 43.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jo I-geon make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?this page
- Will Choi Mina Sue make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
- Will Ham Ye-jin make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?No won
- Will Kim Go-eun make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
- Will Kim Min-ji make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
- Will Lee Joo-young make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
- Will Lee Sung-hoon make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
- Will Park Hee-sun make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
- Will Song Seung-il make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
- Will Woo Seung-min make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.