College Football · resolved market
Spread: South Florida (-27.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77db065ae8d1390c03a07202c2169ee4934d8addac3d50ba6cbe0ccc3d1f9778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Floridaof South Florida, Charlotte 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed South Florida | 51c | 4,857$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.02 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 3,739$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.96 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 1,087$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.86 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…396abacked South Florida | 41c | 429.5$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Charlotte 49ers | 59c | 429.5$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.41 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed South Florida | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Charlotte 49ers | 48c | 104.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed South Florida | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked South Florida | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked South Florida | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked South Florida | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…d466backed Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…f22bbacked South Florida | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Charlotte 49ers | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…048abacked South Florida | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Florida (-27.5)this page
- Charlotte 49ers vs. South FloridaSouth Florida won
- O/U 54.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.