Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Clemson Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6563cfa0c6bd60818f21c29f1376d5d1b821b3d2c202279c65b7f46315ee706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Clemson Tigers, Alabama Crimson Tide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Clemson Tigers | 12c | 7,036$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.37 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 69c | 3,113$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 80c | 3,078$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.55 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Clemson Tigers | 20c | 2,473$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Clemson Tigers | 21c | 2,412$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.68 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Clemson Tigers | 6c | 2,180$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.77 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Clemson Tigers | 19c | 1,675$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.25 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Clemson Tigers | 46c | 1,310$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Clemson Tigers | 20c | 1,269$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.13 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Clemson Tigers | 19c | 1,170$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.38 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Clemson Tigers | 17c | 1,121$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Clemson Tigers | 17c | 1,081$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.31 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Clemson Tigers | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers | 15c | 600.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Clemson Tigers | 5c | 556.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clemson Tigers | 17c | 457.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Clemson Tigers | 47c | 337.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Clemson Tigers | 16c | 318.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Clemson Tigers | 26c | 303.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Clemson Tigers | 21c | 290.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Clemson Tigers | 16c | 287$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Clemson Tigers | 16c | 269.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Clemson Tigers | 10c | 261.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Clemson Tigers | 17c | 260$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Clemson Tigers | 20c | 200.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Clemson Tigers | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…396abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Clemson Tigers | 17c | 185$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef8…c6b7backed Clemson Tigers | 20c | 154$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Clemson Tigers | 16c | 149.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 69c | 140.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Clemson Tigers | 14c | 134.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Clemson Tigers | 17c | 121.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Clemson Tigers | 14c | 108.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 80c | 107$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Clemson Tigers | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed Clemson Tigers | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Clemson Tigers | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Clemson Tigers | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 80c | 56.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…98dcbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 80c | 47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Clemson Tigers | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.