Us Midterms · resolved market
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e19926d2527737d65fc2f63de20f2c1e37d63c00f801ac5ce527f043c47cca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,001,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $894,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,001,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 80c | 88,962$70,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,122.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 27c | 64,734$17,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,354.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed Yes | 27c | 57,821$15,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,352.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…aadebacked Yes | 0c | 50,167$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 73c | 35,100$25,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,583.58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…e93dbacked Yes | 28c | 31,477$8,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,812.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…4e58backed Yes | 15c | 21,828$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.92 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 21c | 20,875$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 0c | 20,736$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 1c | 19,300$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.61 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b75fbacked Yes | 12c | 19,003$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…8e57backed Yes | 4c | 17,500$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 2c | 16,922$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…c0d3backed Yes | 21c | 15,428$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes | 23c | 14,816$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 1c | 14,749$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 5c | 13,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 78c | 12,107$9,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 2c | 12,040$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,085$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…396abacked No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…8642backed Yes | 1c | 9,695$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…6d52backed Yes | 6c | 9,232$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 71c | 8,974$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.83 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b5…c604backed Yes | 32c | 8,000$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…9b35backed Yes | 1c | 7,487$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…c667backed Yes | 1c | 6,748$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 21c | 6,494$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.13 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 27c | 6,398$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.82 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…0ec1backed No | 79c | 6,094$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.3 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…c2b4backed Yes | 1c | 5,921$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe58c…1b12backed Yes | 2c | 5,804$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 76c | 5,123$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +480.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…8a2dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,089$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 71c | 5,022$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.66 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…5da6backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 20c | 4,890$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.81 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 8c | 4,855$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.25 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…4f1ebacked No | 71c | 4,699$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…9c10backed No | 74c | 4,486$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 77c | 4,476$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.66 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Yes | 2c | 4,379$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 24c | 4,345$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.71 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 75c | 4,331$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.33 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 73c | 4,050$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 70c | 3,899$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 1c | 3,037$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 76c | 3,001$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 79c | 2,975$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.75 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 17c | 2,973$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.48 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 25c | 2,800$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,648$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.52 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f9…ed67backed Yes | 1c | 2,564$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a4…7547backed Yes | 2c | 2,530$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 76c | 2,509$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…7abdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,504$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 69c | 2,500$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 73c | 2,388$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 3c | 2,179$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 2,142$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 76c | 2,003$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.59 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…2418backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…fd34backed Yes | 1c | 1,939$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 3c | 1,887$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b3…9d7dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,875$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…d8cabacked Yes | 1c | 1,859$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…1f26backed Yes | 1c | 1,843$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked No | 73c | 1,762$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 29c | 1,741$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d04…8859backed Yes | 6c | 1,602$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,600$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 16c | 1,569$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaf…7f82backed Yes | 1c | 1,508$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…afc8backed No | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…8f61backed Yes | 1c | 1,487$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…35e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,412$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Yes | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…fa38backed No | 70c | 1,378$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbf…d834backed Yes | 16c | 1,253$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…8b46backed No | 75c | 1,250$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…3ae2backed Yes | 9c | 1,236$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 1c | 1,198$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed Yes | 5c | 1,184$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea3…eb77backed Yes | 3c | 1,117$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 16c | 1,001$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.61 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7069backed No | 72c | 1,000$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 34c | 997$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.42 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Yes | 26c | 957.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…27adbacked Yes | 24c | 917$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?this page
- Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes won
- Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes won
- Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?No won
- Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes won
- Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?No won
- Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.