Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbef1cbf0edb80d14c5bd727da827a213ac1754a6b2fd64077fc2152916e35b2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 23c | 3,025$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.84 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed No | 1c | 2,925$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 1c | 2,908$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Yes | 63c | 2,678$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 1,895$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,688$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 77c | 1,626$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.7 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 35c | 1,100$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.58 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 23c | 888$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 30c | 803.17$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.95 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…764cbacked Yes | 70c | 787.6$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 77c | 770$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.57 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 64c | 763.54$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.44 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 65c | 737.73$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.97 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 65c | 734.46$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.53 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…f74dbacked No | 45c | 597$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 76c | 595.5$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yes | 52c | 576.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 32c | 560.21$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 45c | 440$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 3c | 428$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 34c | 401.73$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 43c | 376.37$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed Yes | 62c | 373.34$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes | 80c | 366.8$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 40c | 348$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 61c | 304$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 24c | 301$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 42c | 282.47$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…1863backed Yes | 78c | 270$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Yes | 19c | 250$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed No | 40c | 243.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 71c | 233.2$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 66c | 224.86$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 31c | 219.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Yes | 76c | 218.78$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 30c | 218.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 50c | 213$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 29c | 210$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 69c | 193$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…badcbacked Yes | 29c | 188.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 61c | 184.24$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked Yes | 55c | 176.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…e5cdbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Yes | 59c | 159.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 30c | 145.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…d326backed Yes | 52c | 134.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 56c | 119.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2c…2d47backed Yes | 40c | 114$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed No | 37c | 110.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…8211backed No | 44c | 104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed No | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…6ee7backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…b694backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…e7c5backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…0cefbacked Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a5…9d0ebacked Yes | 63c | 98.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…ede2backed No | 44c | 96.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 72c | 93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 29c | 93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 49c | 92.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf889…e4cebacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcf…1bdebacked No | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…12a3backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…3133backed Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…81dbbacked Yes | 76c | 65.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Yes | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 78c | 63.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbdad…d8b0backed Yes | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…b22ebacked Yes | 56c | 54.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c9…96afbacked Yes | 75c | 53.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed No | 70c | 48.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed No | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed Yes | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…13c6backed Yes | 49c | 40.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…d4d2backed Yes | 66c | 30.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea3…eb77backed Yes | 49c | 30.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 27.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…1afcbacked Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…47ffbacked Yes | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?this page
- Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?No won
- Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes won
- Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes won
- Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?No won
- Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes won
- Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.