TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 132.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e9b…945abacked Over52c4,853$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.257140.8%29 W · 42 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c2,245$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.5712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c869.69$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.912,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Under46c722.96$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.48855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c516.62$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.355,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2567…2371backed Under52c383.35$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.111850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf916…6266backed Over51c196.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Over55c126.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3923054.3%125 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c103.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.53,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20a6…0b06backed Under49c100.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.585248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5593941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee0…bf55backed Under49c98.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.074100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over54c32.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5660954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.