TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Northern Iowa Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Southern Illinois Salukisof Southern Illinois Salukis, Northern Iowa Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers38c3,453$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.451,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis40c1,519$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.0249345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Northern Iowa Panthers11c1,100$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.342,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Northern Iowa Panthers45c987.11$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.8693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Northern Iowa Panthers18c789$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6139742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Illinois Salukis34c708.66$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.81,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Southern Illinois Salukis29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35510622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Northern Iowa Panthers74c408.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011362.8%71 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Southern Illinois Salukis58c350.24$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.813,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Northern Iowa Panthers70c337.68$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3981453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Northern Iowa Panthers18c328.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0670349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Iowa Panthers11c303$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.333,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Southern Illinois Salukis30c289.23$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4681528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Iowa Panthers46c286.67$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.813,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Southern Illinois Salukis76c281.9$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.662,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Southern Illinois Salukis66c266$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8849747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Northern Iowa Panthers72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Southern Illinois Salukis28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Iowa Panthers19c192.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.124,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis78c163.52$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.431,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Southern Illinois Salukis26c162.24$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Southern Illinois Salukis64c131.54$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis62c112.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers50c101.46$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7316746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Southern Illinois Salukis28c99.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7255532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Southern Illinois Salukis29c97.48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.075,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Northern Iowa Panthers72c74$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.281,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Northern Iowa Panthers39c71.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.117627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Northern Iowa Panthers73c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Southern Illinois Salukis64c48.76$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.361,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Northern Iowa Panthers56c32.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.214049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Northern Iowa Panthers57c31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.672,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Southern Illinois Salukis54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8530945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Northern Iowa Panthers72c25.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.711,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Northern Iowa Panthers60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Northern Iowa Panthers71c21.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.19470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Northern Iowa Panthers71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.213464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.