Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4efdbf673bd5ad04052f73b53ff1ede5bf09360f370560ca748e7132ce146ada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 35,933$17,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,966.3 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 54c | 3,309$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.49 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 1,169$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.09 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 841.06$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 51c | 784$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 49c | 736$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.64 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Under | 50c | 621.7$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 527.14$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 51c | 522$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 469.54$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.11 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 50c | 366$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 263.72$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 50c | 234$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 50c | 176.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Under | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 134.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Over | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Over | 50c | 85.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 51c | 81.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 51c | 69.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 52c | 48.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 52c | 35.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 48c | 33.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 51c | 23.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 139.5this page
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Navy MidshipmenNavy Midshipmen won
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-9.5)Navy Midshipmen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.