MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb60e71a7d8d60315558467e22d6ed3e32ecaf816c93b2c34ebc671177ea464
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3aa…4830backed Under | 45c | 56,426$25,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,470.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 37,721$20,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,057.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 51c | 5,731$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.01 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 3,094$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.02 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 54c | 2,433$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.35 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 2,311$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 55c | 2,123$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.54 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 54c | 1,962$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.39 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 1,835$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.26 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,802$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.67 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 55c | 910.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.27 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 49c | 902.73$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.94 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 859.41$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 36c | 850.88$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.88 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 54c | 778$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.88 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 754.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.31 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 47c | 716.06$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.09 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 605.97$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 54c | 597.79$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.36 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Over | 52c | 522.44$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.77 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 408.8$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 48c | 351$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.03 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 331.03$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 291.51$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.79 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 39c | 286.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.53 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 275$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 56c | 267.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 53c | 247$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 44c | 220.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Under | 48c | 215.56$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 53c | 189.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 53c | 188.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 53c | 165.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 146.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 142.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 49c | 137.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Over | 52c | 136.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 54c | 115.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 44c | 104.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 48c | 95.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 44c | 93.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 54c | 86.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 58c | 80.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 48c | 74.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 44c | 64.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Under | 54c | 59.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 48c | 51.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Over | 27c | 50.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 32c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd1…2762backed Under | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Over | 53c | 46.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…059cbacked Over | 50c | 41.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a5d7backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 66c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 53c | 37.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 49c | 36.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 36.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Over | 51c | 36.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 39c | 34.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 66c | 34.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…599ebacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…535dbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed Over | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 34c | 31.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 34c | 30.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 51c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 42c | 28.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…6939backed Over | 54c | 27.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…ac9abacked Over | 53c | 26.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…5366backed Over | 53c | 26.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 48c | 25.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.