MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd823e6aa268211acb2c06a87b5b742ced7be3342b4454a5afc6f13a7d78297a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Milwaukee Brewers, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 4,017$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.66 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 1,560$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.45 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 1,235$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.33 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 722.14$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.36 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 504.27$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.75 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 409.71$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 381.86$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 259.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 259.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 231.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 220.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 218.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 217.49$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 150.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 138.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 132$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 125.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 70.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 67.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 467 | 59.7%279 W · 188 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 57.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 47.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 38.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 28.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 27.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.