College Football · resolved market
Spread: Memphis (-21.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacd95343b40e12137a5fb9ed4e716ca4c621e27f56f17d22f80583b3a3b57726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UAB Blazersof Memphis, UAB Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked UAB Blazers | 46c | 43,906$20,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,649.41 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Memphis | 51c | 35,013$17,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,789.74 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Memphis | 53c | 24,385$12,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,966.65 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Memphis | 55c | 11,609$6,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,384.88 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Memphis | 49c | 6,688$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.97 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9ed3backed UAB Blazers | 52c | 2,868$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.92 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Memphis | 48c | 2,607$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.32 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed UAB Blazers | 48c | 1,821$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.84 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked UAB Blazers | 49c | 1,644$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.17 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed UAB Blazers | 47c | 1,500$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.9 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UAB Blazers | 47c | 1,215$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.17 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Memphis | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Memphis | 51c | 612.23$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.24 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked UAB Blazers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Memphis | 42c | 391$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Memphis | 50c | 322$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Memphis | 49c | 313$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.37 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…151ebacked Memphis | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Memphis | 49c | 123$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Memphis | 48c | 86.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4f…3d87backed UAB Blazers | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed UAB Blazers | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…975fbacked Memphis | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Memphis | 46c | 53.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked UAB Blazers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked UAB Blazers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Memphis (-21.5)this page
- Memphis vs. UAB BlazersUAB Blazers won
- Memphis vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 62.5Under won
- Memphis vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 64.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.