MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd472fe45d4c4412bd7b2a7aed78d0b5acbcb990dc76ef64ef3e6b671280d1bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 53c | 42,934$22,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,178.79 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Under | 54c | 41,678$22,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,183.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 26,879$12,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,605.63 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 47c | 14,874$6,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,942.7 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 11,144$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,118.66 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Under | 53c | 9,785$5,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.67 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 8,212$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.17 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 6,542$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.39 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 5,943$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.72 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.96 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 37c | 4,678$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.62 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 46c | 4,408$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.24 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 55c | 3,053$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.97 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 3,033$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.36 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 47c | 3,033$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.35 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 47c | 3,032$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.02 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 47c | 3,030$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.88 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 47c | 3,028$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.85 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 47c | 2,573$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.93 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 47c | 2,056$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.47 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…8463backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 47c | 1,452$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.58 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Under | 52c | 1,385$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 54c | 1,350$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Under | 53c | 1,334$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.05 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 46c | 1,226$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.96 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 46c | 1,053$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.25 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Over | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.8 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 46c | 1,043$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.25 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 47c | 1,034$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.04 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 47c | 1,025$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.77 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Under | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 48c | 730$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 46c | 729.3$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.48 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Under | 54c | 720.3$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under | 54c | 692.03$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 46c | 682.93$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 46c | 614.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.9 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 47c | 610.04$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.1 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 591.86$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 54c | 555.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.55 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 46c | 430.6$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.08 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 52c | 379.14$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Under | 55c | 355.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.35 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 46c | 319.2$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 46c | 312.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 46c | 297.7$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.94 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Under | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 52c | 241.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 224.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…73aebacked Under | 52c | 223.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fea…594dbacked Over | 49c | 219.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 46c | 207.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 46c | 207.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 46c | 206.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 46c | 205.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Under | 55c | 194.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 48c | 179.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Under | 72c | 166.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 9c | 166.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7372…6ce4backed Under | 54c | 164.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 47c | 157.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Under | 54c | 151.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Under | 55c | 135.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 48c | 130.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 11c | 129.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 116.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 47c | 110.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 46c | 103.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 53c | 101.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 54c | 99.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 54c | 94.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 46c | 92.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…faa4backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 47c | 87.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…399fbacked Over | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 46c | 83.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 47c | 74.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 46c | 66.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 53c | 66.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 47c | 66.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Over | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Over | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -7.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 46c | 61.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 60.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 55c | 58.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Under | 54c | 55.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 54c | 53.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo Run won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.