Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbac6ce579ff3261869c589e1735e3803d3a3c5cff54816637c94e53a173298ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 3,005$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 1,739$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.72 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 917.07$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.38 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 52c | 348.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c1…9511backed Under | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 233.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 52c | 213.56$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 55c | 138.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 55c | 85.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 48c | 51.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 55c | 45.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 70c | 42.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 38.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 48c | 30.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 55c | 24.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 136.5this page
- Spread: Monmouth Hawks (-1.5)Towson Tigers won
- Spread: Monmouth Hawks (-2.5)Towson Tigers won
- Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth HawksMonmouth Hawks won
- Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 135.5Over won
- Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 137.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.