NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfad17c492ecb142dea2a2fcaea3696a8eb13124e204adfa6d41c0d8e4b8bef1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed 76ers | 10c | 127,916$13,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,276.71 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed 76ers | 12c | 55,604$6,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,751.11 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed 76ers | 19c | 10,148$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.09 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed 76ers | 16c | 7,094$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.65 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 18c | 6,486$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.51 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked 76ers | 17c | 6,193$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.44 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed 76ers | 11c | 4,841$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.42 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…5a6fbacked 76ers | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed 76ers | 18c | 2,100$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…f68bbacked 76ers | 3c | 1,347$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…b678backed 76ers | 11c | 1,320$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…5f47backed 76ers | 2c | 1,239$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked 76ers | 14c | 1,147$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 76ers | 3c | 1,109$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…b1f3backed 76ers | 19c | 894$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked 76ers | 1c | 821.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…518abacked 76ers | 11c | 713.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed 76ers | 3c | 634.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed 76ers | 2c | 626$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…a436backed 76ers | 10c | 590.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked 76ers | 14c | 585.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed 76ers | 17c | 582.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed 76ers | 21c | 546.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed 76ers | 12c | 541.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Knicks | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6416…18d7backed 76ers | 14c | 481.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed 76ers | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed 76ers | 11c | 418.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24aa…4afabacked 76ers | 3c | 413.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked 76ers | 11c | 408.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Knicks | 69c | 389.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed 76ers | 12c | 387.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed 76ers | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed 76ers | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…5ef9backed 76ers | 5c | 305.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked 76ers | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Knicks | 55c | 291.28$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed 76ers | 13c | 291.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 76ers | 10c | 278.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked 76ers | 23c | 269.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -12.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2b…24f2backed Knicks | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…afe7backed 76ers | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked 76ers | 9c | 224$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…312fbacked 76ers | 46c | 219.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Knicks | 80c | 218$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…4531backed 76ers | 14c | 216.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…4d9fbacked 76ers | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed 76ers | 13c | 205.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Knicks | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…740abacked 76ers | 13c | 186.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…e7a6backed 76ers | 11c | 183.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd168…8ce9backed 76ers | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 55.9%95 W · 75 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ca…f86ebacked 76ers | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ee…b4bebacked 76ers | 15c | 138.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d77…2296backed 76ers | 11c | 138.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked 76ers | 18c | 137.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…4925backed 76ers | 13c | 137.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…9062backed 76ers | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…db24backed 76ers | 15c | 108.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked 76ers | 38c | 105.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…9954backed 76ers | 13c | 103.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked 76ers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…79d1backed 76ers | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8faa…1b5cbacked 76ers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Knicks | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…2d2ebacked 76ers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…abb9backed 76ers | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…bb8dbacked 76ers | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ce…c5f9backed 76ers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…3b4abacked 76ers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…2c23backed 76ers | 32c | 62.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…1795backed 76ers | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…4380backed 76ers | 33c | 36.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7b…04d6backed Knicks | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.