Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaade1d22c81a9e57ed2fd8d83c2a2886c703e4797d1e6c65aa0aefcd3168d031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 45c | 32,466$14,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,633.05 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 19,030$9,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,719.91 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…5cfabacked Over | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.86 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 77c | 4,330$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.37 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.97 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 39c | 2,318$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.21 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 76c | 1,315$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 46c | 1,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 1,067$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.82 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 42c | 785.79$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 36c | 768$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 725.08$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.38 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 47c | 718.52$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.75 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 58c | 680.64$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 619.88$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.16 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 40c | 502.3$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 67c | 371.12$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.65 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 333.96$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.3 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 237.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 205.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…e5a9backed Under | 25c | 204.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 75c | 200.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 43c | 186.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 58c | 156$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc505…21bebacked Over | 58c | 155.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 147.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 79c | 146.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under | 61c | 114.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 61c | 110.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1817…5f80backed Under | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 58c | 96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…9e5bbacked Over | 46c | 93.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 76c | 92.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 68c | 92.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 54c | 83.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 40c | 82.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…26a7backed Over | 46c | 78.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 40c | 75.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8abe…61debacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 55c | 72.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 57c | 71.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Under | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 73c | 65.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 77c | 55.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…e764backed Over | 66c | 55.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 53.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 39c | 51.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Under | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 58c | 45.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…9636backed Under | 61c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 28c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 42c | 38.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Under | 33c | 31.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 33c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…6695backed Over | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 43c | 27.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Over | 46c | 26.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 63c | 26.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 45c | 23.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…d5a8backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…a519backed Under | 61c | 17.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.