Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e18ed6bedd9cbf3b36826c7b589e8dc5a4f8b4cbea74d6acece64d5faf7ff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 62c | 196,959$122,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,847.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 38c | 40,000$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 20,960$7,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,964.8 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 38c | 19,886$7,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,556.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 16,507$6,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,336.97 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 15,798$6,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,005.52 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.91 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 38c | 9,200$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 5,838$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.8 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 38c | 5,401$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.53 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 38c | 4,200$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 38c | 2,911$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.07 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 2,664$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.79 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 65c | 2,525$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.78 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 38c | 2,096$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.48 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 34c | 1,984$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.58 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 38c | 1,722$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.36 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Over | 62c | 1,600$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 66c | 1,245$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.24 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 37c | 1,025$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.25 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 38c | 921$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 14c | 847.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.3 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Under | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 52c | 721.33$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.16 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 38c | 720$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 38c | 609.62$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.37 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 38c | 582.54$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 38c | 560$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 2c | 530.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 37c | 509$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under | 40c | 500.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 60c | 486.5$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.6 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed Over | 63c | 440.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 37c | 410.35$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Under | 35c | 385.91$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 38c | 360$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 38c | 340$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 38c | 340$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 38c | 340$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 38c | 340$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 38c | 340$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 38c | 340$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 38c | 340$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 38c | 340$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 38c | 320$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 38c | 307.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e3…42f1backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 37c | 270.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 38c | 270.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 38c | 235.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Over | 65c | 231.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Under | 38c | 230.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 38c | 225$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 38c | 204.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 35c | 195.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed Under | 38c | 160.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Under | 38c | 149.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.