Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8a02c314913c8335cb4cb93cd5a4050a8c2bdf99a8baad0bb18741eb43204a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,773 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Power Rangers | 47c | 2,120$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.83 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed 1win | 52c | 1,739$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.46 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Power Rangers | 27c | 838.27$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Power Rangers | 35c | 815.61$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Power Rangers | 13c | 767.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1win | 64c | 761.26$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.63 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Power Rangers | 4c | 615.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 73c | 551.81$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.26 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Power Rangers | 31c | 528.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Power Rangers | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed 1win | 75c | 408.57$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked 1win | 68c | 345$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…148dbacked Power Rangers | 30c | 333.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Power Rangers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked 1win | 73c | 251$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed 1win | 60c | 248.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers | 36c | 194.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 1win | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed 1win | 68c | 146.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed 1win | 62c | 143.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Power Rangers | 29c | 139.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers | 27c | 131.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 68c | 125.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked 1win | 60c | 116.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked 1win | 79c | 112.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Power Rangers | 34c | 109.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed 1win | 59c | 103.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Power Rangers | 26c | 92.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 43c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed 1win | 78c | 78.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Power Rangers | 47c | 76.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Power Rangers | 37c | 75.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed 1win | 70c | 62.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Power Rangers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1win | 69c | 40.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Power Rangers | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked 1win | 72c | 27.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed 1win | 68c | 27.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed 1win | 66c | 26.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed 1win | 75c | 25.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked 1win | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked 1win | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…16f1backed 1win | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…26a7backed 1win | 77c | 13.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.