Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34123552575663a166e88d2e409231b4a336658f04e2c5caa2a0942318d153db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof 1win, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,734 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Power Rangers | 35c | 9,047$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,872.24 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 55c | 4,145$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.92 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed 1win | 50c | 3,873$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.14 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1win | 51c | 3,446$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.5 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 1win | 52c | 1,464$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.35 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Power Rangers | 39c | 1,326$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.34 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Power Rangers | 53c | 1,296$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.21 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Power Rangers | 59c | 1,182$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.73 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed 1win | 61c | 1,136$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.39 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed 1win | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…ccd1backed Power Rangers | 57c | 970.54$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…148dbacked 1win | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Power Rangers | 51c | 633.4$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.23 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Power Rangers | 59c | 512.43$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 57c | 425.69$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.67 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed 1win | 50c | 399.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed 1win | 57c | 360.88$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.33 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked 1win | 48c | 348.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Power Rangers | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 54c | 301.59$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.16 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked 1win | 39c | 296.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Power Rangers | 53c | 286.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Power Rangers | 51c | 279.53$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers | 61c | 261.65$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Power Rangers | 48c | 240.52$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…2e3ebacked 1win | 67c | 211.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 1win | 69c | 209.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed 1win | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed 1win | 55c | 181.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Power Rangers | 58c | 173.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Power Rangers | 42c | 170.3$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Power Rangers | 40c | 167.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…d4c9backed 1win | 40c | 132.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed 1win | 43c | 114.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 1win | 60c | 111.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Power Rangers | 46c | 108.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Power Rangers | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Power Rangers | 60c | 101.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Power Rangers | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Power Rangers | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Power Rangers | 34c | 87.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Power Rangers | 55c | 84.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked 1win | 55c | 82.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed 1win | 37c | 66.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 1win | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Power Rangers | 48c | 62.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Power Rangers | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1win | 40c | 59.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked 1win | 37c | 40.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed 1win | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…1bffbacked Power Rangers | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Power Rangers | 42c | 38.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed 1win | 35c | 32.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked 1win | 58c | 32.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 1win | 38c | 32.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Power Rangers | 49c | 31.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1win | 41c | 30.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked 1win | 60c | 29.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed 1win | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed 1win | 57c | 29.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625b…031fbacked 1win | 50c | 26.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f9…a6b2backed Power Rangers | 51c | 26.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Power Rangers | 42c | 25.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…748dbacked 1win | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Power Rangers | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed 1win | 73c | 22.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed 1win | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.