TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$536,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$562,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2379…bf16backed Over45c379,917$172,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207,162.371163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c161,319$87,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,373.952,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under54c90,023$48,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,75658248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over44c50,035$22,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,809.994641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c40,575$20,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,983.4146048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under55c28,361$15,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,620.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under59c27,066$15,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,893.273237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under54c17,629$9,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,569.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c11,999$5,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,752.81,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4009348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over46c9,310$4,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,027.44447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over46c8,696$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,695.642665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over45c7,401$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,072.229350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under58c7,311$4,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,260.8718160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under59c7,097$4,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,186.9438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under55c6,459$3,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,552.462245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over44c6,175$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,458.181533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1de6…d1a3backed Under55c5,455$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+57.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c5,003$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.0716144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Under59c4,712$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb38…1659backed Under55c4,545$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under59c4,237$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Over46c3,838$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4980…a14cbacked Under55c3,822$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c3,771$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.6429746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc8…9069backed Under55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf04f…ce8cbacked Under57c3,625$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c2,502$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.0426047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over39c2,444$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.595646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18019755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under53c1,875$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under50c1,692$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.3716036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under51c1,552$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.5930657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under60c1,511$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.594042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over44c1,504$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.2124327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under59c1,285$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.152638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over76c1,178$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2112344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under53c980.8$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.8714447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c962$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2415550.3%78 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under52c959$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.681435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Under59c720$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.81540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4e6…0d1fbacked Over47c710$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Under53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37160%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7294…772ebacked Under54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ca6…9399backed Under54c660$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc690…bd15backed Over47c650$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over44c644.39$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.861822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Under54c590.74$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3192846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2955036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under59c481.36$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2841968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x625d…e828backed Under54c451.85$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.446758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…ffb3backed Under56c421.14$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.382259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over46c414.37$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.761553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Under58c360$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.144548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under53c351.94$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6339746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under55c350.78$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.398149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under59c350$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2423947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.334351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under55c328.7$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15612748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15621354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16511245.5%51 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under56c296.17$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.875955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14516753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under56c244.64$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1371145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under59c243$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3720947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under56c228.57$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810039%39 W · 61 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under35c217.07$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6715936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over46c206.39$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.455149%25 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1188341%34 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Under59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1107133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1064139%16 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7799…0bd5backed Under58c199.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.991030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Under19c193.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.33812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-69.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under57c184.15$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.866950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Under55c181.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.981154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over37c180$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.47639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under57c176.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over38c176.21$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.259841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under23c174.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406735.8%24 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Under52c171.52$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Under59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dee…f426backed Under60c166.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under53c160$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.46445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.