TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,607 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8790…010bbacked Over57c28,523$16,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,237.623857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Under77c14,999$11,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,549.26862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over23c5,900$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,54338748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c4,259$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.91,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under49c4,083$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.4312344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under25c2,590$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Under49c2,180$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under75c2,072$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.0358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under44c1,755$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.82630.8%8 W · 18 L-8.2wins-0.32per pick62cpaid-50.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under78c1,611$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.574042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over25c1,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over26c1,344$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.1829350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over61c1,320$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.314573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over23c1,243$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.075034%17 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under43c1,209$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.763050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Over57c1,205$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under16c1,186$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.521,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over55c1,032$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.576259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over56c986.13$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.1310628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over61c900$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.014766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c783.3$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.9846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over40c499.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.113234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over50c462.33$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.176633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9f…5a30backed Over61c398$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over54c386.71$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8517848.9%87 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under78c384.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over59c369.61$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.961662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over54c351.44$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.988155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Under41c348.78$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1435459.3%32 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over60c333.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.439845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+90%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Under42c323.93$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1368643%37 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18020655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-69.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Over59c298.67$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.325628.6%16 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Over61c295.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.083250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over49c273.78$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5415657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over53c261.8$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.86262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Over23c260.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.871844.4%8 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+84.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e6…a6edbacked Over41c250.4$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.971266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009739.2%38 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Under46c222.23$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.233154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked Under50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Under75c212.31$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.231060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over23c212.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.431650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under10c210.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-75%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb841…3cfbbacked Under76c210$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick72cpaid-63.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over26c199.97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.988043.8%35 W · 45 L+11.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+60.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over24c192.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4860748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f4…4ce0backed Over57c185.68$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Under74c182.82$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.292454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.447068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9115236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under49c152.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.155547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a7f…5dcebacked Under43c138.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over28c134.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8439746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under66c130$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.19246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.127561.3%46 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under41c121.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over24c117.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.283953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over29c117.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.172147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over64c113.02$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.167238.9%28 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under51c112.68$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.065932.2%19 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked Under46c108.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…6484backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7310647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Over27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over50c97.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7511653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed Over66c86.71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+94.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Over75c85.8$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Over26c82.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.284632.6%15 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over23c82.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.650247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4146956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under77c78.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.662050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over53c77.74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.541060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over21c73.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.314431.8%14 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under77c63.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.265036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d94…3bfbbacked Over26c59.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.04450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+127.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Under61c57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over26c56.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.743427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36fa…1125backed Under42c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Over59c49.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.155448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Over25c48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06ce…c202backed Over64c43.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea51…83a0backed Over59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.372867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ec…ffb3backed Over29c42.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.842259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under75c40.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.617045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac9a…d745backed Over58c40.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+73.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x164c…3e39backed Under62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.46546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under79c38.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.451631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-49.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Over59c38.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.692347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfe…1afcbacked Over68c37.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2840…ec7ebacked Under50c35.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.831353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.57454.1%40 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.