Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70464bff0edbf10ae8740674f1b6d135828670184db0d5e314ec8ee763c84bd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas State Bobcatsof Troy Trojans, Texas State Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas State Bobcats | 56c | 1,555$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.42 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Texas State Bobcats | 35c | 1,544$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.43 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Troy Trojans | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Texas State Bobcats | 35c | 1,209$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.87 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Troy Trojans | 48c | 1,165$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.19 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas State Bobcats | 62c | 1,004$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Troy Trojans | 48c | 995.08$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Troy Trojans | 65c | 839$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.05 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Troy Trojans | 32c | 719.93$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.58 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Troy Trojans | 46c | 589.03$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d7…0ed9backed Texas State Bobcats | 38c | 528.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas State Bobcats | 56c | 505.47$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.93 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Troy Trojans | 39c | 475.87$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Texas State Bobcats | 48c | 326.39$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Texas State Bobcats | 71c | 312.41$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Troy Trojans | 42c | 234.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Texas State Bobcats | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Troy Trojans | 7c | 169.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas State Bobcats | 58c | 157.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Troy Trojans | 50c | 157.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Troy Trojans | 66c | 149.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Troy Trojans | 7c | 145.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Troy Trojans | 65c | 128.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Troy Trojans | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Troy Trojans | 35c | 101.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Troy Trojans | 66c | 83.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Troy Trojans | 68c | 83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Troy Trojans | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Troy Trojans | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Texas State Bobcats | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas State Bobcats | 79c | 70.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Troy Trojans | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Texas State Bobcats | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Texas State Bobcats | 34c | 58.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Troy Trojans | 47c | 47.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Texas State Bobcats | 76c | 46.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Texas State Bobcats | 79c | 45.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas State Bobcats | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Troy Trojans | 65c | 40.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Texas State Bobcats | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Troy Trojans | 43c | 34.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Troy Trojans | 44c | 32.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Texas State Bobcats | 35c | 32.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Troy Trojans | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Troy Trojans | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Texas State Bobcats | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Texas State Bobcats | 34c | 29.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Troy Trojans | 44c | 28.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Troy Trojans | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Texas State Bobcats | 55c | 21.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Troy Trojans | 66c | 20.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcatsthis page
- Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.