Other European Leagues · resolved market
Falkirk FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f86f4503a3cfedb3af6e4ad88c3e8d4eaab2bf6263ba05a7418ea7e19c29460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $516,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 500,049$264,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,170.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Under | 47c | 220,000$103,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 192,658$90,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,549.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 20,522$9,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,706.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 6,537$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.83 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 3,260$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 49c | 3,208$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 53c | 2,859$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.91 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 49c | 1,407$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.44 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Over | 49c | 1,127$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,091$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.47 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 541.45$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.64 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…73a1backed Over | 53c | 498.14$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Over | 53c | 473.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 408$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 267.71$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 49c | 202.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Under | 51c | 176$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 130.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 125.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Over | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d7…0ed9backed Over | 51c | 97.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Over | 52c | 76.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e1…eb3dbacked Under | 50c | 58.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…a64fbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…78b8backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 50c | 46.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…fb6cbacked Over | 52c | 38.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…0a3abacked Over | 52c | 34.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 51c | 33.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…6ef3backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…5f52backed Over | 53c | 28.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…2477backed Under | 49c | 25.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falkirk FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Falkirk FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Falkirk FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Falkirk FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.