Bundesliga · resolved market
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd4c9b99726f22998fc98ffd0f5a33316dffd8305b3ad6a4f6a9af3a72a83601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 48c | 36,119$17,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,785.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 15,421$7,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,964.82 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 7,721$5,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.24 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 6,666$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.79 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Over | 51c | 4,999$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.97 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 49c | 3,682$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.63 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 9c | 3,090$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 2,799$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.63 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 50c | 525.38$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 441.22$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.22 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 24c | 374.85$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…ee84backed Over | 52c | 280$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 25c | 274.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Under | 49c | 250.43$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…4183backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 201.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 52c | 195.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 192.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 51c | 175.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 52c | 146.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…fb61backed Under | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…4f3fbacked Under | 48c | 128.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…c212backed Under | 47c | 106.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 48c | 104.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d7…0ed9backed Under | 49c | 102.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…fc1abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 49c | 87.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…914dbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 51c | 53.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 53c | 51.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…fb6cbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…ddb9backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…0c80backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 49c | 42.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…6521backed Under | 66c | 41.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…3987backed Over | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…65dbbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…7ee3backed Over | 51c | 38.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Under | 48c | 36.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…f3e0backed Under | 66c | 35.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…9192backed Over | 53c | 33.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdee…58e8backed Over | 52c | 32.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…2220backed Under | 49c | 32.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9284…1e52backed Under | 50c | 31.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…4e52backed Under | 48c | 31.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…57dfbacked Under | 49c | 30.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…246dbacked Over | 52c | 29.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8394…20a3backed Over | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 53c | 22.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 54c | 22.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Over | 47c | 21.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…80d2backed Over | 56c | 21.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 48c | 20.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe45…f9a7backed Under | 66c | 20.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73c…dd15backed Over | 52c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc41…4c89backed Under | 58c | 17.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Under | 64c | 15.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: SC Preußen Münster (-2.5)TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf won
- TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SC Preußen Münster: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 1.5Under won
- TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 3.5Under won
- TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.