South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ab13899dbc461194c072703022c86d6c4fa9c1703c184ce3f6c26f21c1ad2a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $423,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $418,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 57c | 342,671$196,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,868.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 42c | 185,927$78,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,089.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,499.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 44c | 31,250$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 22,554$9,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,715.78 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 19,008$7,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,642.66 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 12,089$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,314.17 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…722ebacked Over | 43c | 9,777$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 43c | 9,070$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 7,700$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 44c | 7,223$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.73 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 43c | 6,888$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.76 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 42c | 6,875$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.93 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 43c | 4,015$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.99 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Under | 57c | 2,407$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 43c | 1,442$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 40c | 925.63$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.06 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 44c | 667$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 43c | 623.26$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 57c | 599.95$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.98 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 80c | 599.95$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 29c | 550$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 40c | 499.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Under | 57c | 475.36$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Under | 57c | 456.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 39c | 454.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…73a1backed Under | 57c | 411.64$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 43c | 361.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 58c | 347.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 335.15$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 43c | 313.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 44c | 280$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 44c | 214$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 44c | 201.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed Under | 59c | 170.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…a573backed Under | 58c | 141.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 16c | 137.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 66c | 126$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 39c | 124.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Under | 57c | 122.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 39c | 122.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…3eeebacked Under | 56c | 108.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 43c | 106.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…6255backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 56c | 90.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d7…0ed9backed Under | 56c | 88.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9284…1e52backed Under | 63c | 86.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…3ab9backed Under | 56c | 70.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Over | 42c | 70.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…0a3abacked Under | 57c | 65.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 47c | 64.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…d4fcbacked Under | 79c | 55.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Over | 38c | 52.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1598…e2b6backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…fc1abacked Over | 42c | 52.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…c212backed Under | 58c | 47.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 69c | 43.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 43c | 42.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 40c | 42.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Over | 40c | 40.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Under | 62c | 39.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Over | 43c | 38.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Over | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…328cbacked Under | 66c | 34.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab9a…7f4ebacked Under | 58c | 34.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 66c | 32.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 44c | 31.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…d8ffbacked Over | 43c | 30.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…acddbacked Over | 45c | 28.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…3232backed Under | 56c | 27.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…fb1fbacked Under | 56c | 26.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 25.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc41…4c89backed Under | 77c | 25.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…5075backed Over | 45c | 25.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 42c | 23.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…78b8backed Under | 57c | 22.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…5556backed Under | 55c | 22.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…b713backed Under | 65c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 19.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.