South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c4c5d438abfa382f0682e9a1958d9633ed7561a731c13412ecaeed68a589df5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,681$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.12 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 28c | 799.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 604.16$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.68 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 52c | 383.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Yes | 52c | 298.87$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked No | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 33cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 156.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7872…bedcbacked Yes | 44c | 129.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 51c | 97.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1598…e2b6backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 48.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…a309backed Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 61c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 27.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…6be6backed Yes | 52c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 68c | 23.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…0a7bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.