South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ae5b67564bce3054bc89cb3d332dfc4cde7d72c3f129e87b27e00b51a9fd53a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 3,307$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 64c | 2,258$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.2 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 65c | 999.8$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 69c | 434.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Under | 37c | 397$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 397$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 394.52$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.43 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c41…c63ebacked Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 176.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 154.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 37c | 133.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…db3ebacked Under | 58c | 118.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 97.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Under | 20c | 82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Over | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 80c | 65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 71c | 61.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a6…2d17backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 59c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 30c | 36.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 34.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 71c | 26.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf2…8e4abacked Under | 68c | 24.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 60c | 24.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.