La Liga · resolved market
SD Huesca vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe62eaca41ddd890e75d98e1ae03b569e3ca51b18427c551e419c8adb0d6c7fa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 42c | 272,625$114,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,361.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 58c | 188,588$109,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,206.75 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 14,664$8,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,069.98 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 61c | 9,888$6,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.32 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 9,017$5,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.45 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 7,715$4,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.69 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 7,026$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.74 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 59c | 6,437$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.74 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 59c | 3,500$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.11 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 58c | 3,333$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.86 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 42c | 3,316$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 59c | 2,283$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.09 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 32c | 311.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…73a1backed Over | 41c | 282.54$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e1…eb3dbacked Under | 60c | 226.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871b…b344backed Over | 39c | 177.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Over | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 47c | 149.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…3fe0backed Over | 41c | 145.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…6255backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d7…0ed9backed Over | 42c | 118.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 42c | 117.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 59c | 101.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Over | 21c | 86.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 58c | 75.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…a982backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 20c | 61.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 52.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…0a3abacked Over | 41c | 43.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 72c | 35.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 57c | 31.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 40c | 29.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…fdcdbacked Over | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…9d6bbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…2477backed Under | 63c | 20.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Under | 58c | 19.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Under | 59c | 18.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 59c | 17.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SD Huesca vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5this page
- SD Huesca vs. AD Ceuta FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SD Huesca vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)SD Huesca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.