TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1433…56a0backed Over51c26,150$13,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,813.492157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c9,541$4,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,722.994,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c6,999$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.630446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b6…9dbdbacked Under49c5,463$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.2540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c3,500$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.2153246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4707353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over49c1,989$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.622373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c1,314$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.222,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c1,268$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.3235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under50c1,011$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.361361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c860.71$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.111,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over51c545.73$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.417850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under2c505.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13327.3%9 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+158.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under49c450$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.527652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c450$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.531751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under49c450$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c432.25$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.811929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb8…71f0backed Over51c401.51$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.74955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+46.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under49c399.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19618152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over52c390.91$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6431745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under50c364$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1824654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under49c360$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.414244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under49c350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.517648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x096a…390bbacked Over51c302.73$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14719750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14735054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14714950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d6…3273backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over50c283$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.53548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under49c280$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.216151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.529053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.543255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under49c225$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2515250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over52c208.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over51c200.94$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4619344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Over52c194$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over50c186.6$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3920452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.29649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.37951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.320652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.311952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.37045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.39945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.320250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.311346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.320949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.419652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.54351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.519951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under49c149.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4921051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.819352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.89247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.818853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.810351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.819053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.89343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.815747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c105.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.881,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under49c101.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.976237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4911448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4919153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c93.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.741,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.219553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.22147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.312147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over52c65.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.689354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over69c61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7855941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.419152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.420054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410247.1%48 W · 54 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.419155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.421151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.418852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.48650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.419751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.418551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410045%45 W · 55 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.49551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8242158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd485…871fbacked Over51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227573.3%55 W · 20 L+20.9wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+62.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.022661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0230842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under55c47.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over52c46.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3412156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.641,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over49c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.414044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.