Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0642e67913853acac8e182c8fea8900f1ed4a555a8dc225432d8ed4e56a0b7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 4,069$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 3,999$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.63 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 2,016$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.21 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,917$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.27 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Under | 49c | 999.96$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked Over | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 410.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 51c | 392.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 51c | 242.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 47c | 211.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…2c89backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 55c | 141.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 127.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 127.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 93.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 71c | 91.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Over | 51c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 48c | 75.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Under | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…aecfbacked Under | 48c | 45.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Under | 48c | 42.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 52c | 42.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 48c | 42.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 68cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 50c | 27.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 46c | 27.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8ccdbacked Over | 52c | 22.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 70c | 18.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.