Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7887f787b43d6af9db68a2eed73941596a9a0e871b381f4f32b86fcdcb70ef8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 4,278$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 76c | 2,020$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.1 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 964.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 776.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 24c | 599.89$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.25 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 554.72$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.83 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 460$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Over | 46c | 431.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 32c | 312.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 23c | 312$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 270.18$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 61c | 227.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 209.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 23c | 199.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.66 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 75c | 180.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…2c89backed Over | 77c | 152.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 76c | 144$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 78c | 130$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Over | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 24c | 76.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 63.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 61c | 62.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…7627backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 24c | 56.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 41c | 49.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Under | 24c | 47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 78c | 44.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 74c | 33.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…2c56backed Over | 64c | 31.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…e776backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 76c | 24.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…6c6cbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.