NHL · resolved market
SHL: HV 71 vs. Skellefteaa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1962ddb594971b3482bb810959d0d822571ea04c5f905f8bed8b5008d921a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skellefteaaof HV 71, Skellefteaa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed HV 71 | 36c | 770.81$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.92 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Skellefteaa | 64c | 649$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.8 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked HV 71 | 37c | 162.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed HV 71 | 38c | 112$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed HV 71 | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed HV 71 | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Skellefteaa | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Skellefteaa | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed HV 71 | 38c | 95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…c018backed Skellefteaa | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Skellefteaa | 64c | 75.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked HV 71 | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked HV 71 | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…5d1cbacked Skellefteaa | 64c | 62.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Skellefteaa | 62c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HV 71 | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed HV 71 | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked HV 71 | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed HV 71 | 36c | 42.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Skellefteaa | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Skellefteaa | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed Skellefteaa | 49c | 32.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Skellefteaa | 69c | 31.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Skellefteaa | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Skellefteaa | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Skellefteaa | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Skellefteaa | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Skellefteaa | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Skellefteaa | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Skellefteaa | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Skellefteaa | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Skellefteaa | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Skellefteaa | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Skellefteaa | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Skellefteaa | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Skellefteaa | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.