La Liga · resolved market
Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6390788c9f06ee7b16e65d7c72066e05b2c0dded807527e6780815596e798d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UD Almeríaof UD Almería, Real Sociedad de Fútbol B
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 61c | 1,268$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.07 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed UD Almería | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.27 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed UD Almería | 39c | 1,021$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.84 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 61c | 494$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.36 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 60c | 436.46$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…9733backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 14c | 392.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UD Almería | 61c | 309.98$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked UD Almería | 38c | 295.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.98 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 46c | 275.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.28per pick | 60cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed UD Almería | 39c | 270.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.75 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 62c | 237$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed UD Almería | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 26c | 105.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed UD Almería | 36c | 92.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed UD Almería | 77c | 76.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked UD Almería | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 61c | 71.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed UD Almería | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 205 | 41.5%85 W · 120 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed UD Almería | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 62c | 46.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 63c | 31.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 62c | 26.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 62c | 19.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)UD Almería won
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.